While U.S. stocks are currently in demand, European stocks are mostly ignored. Bargain hunters are also looking to China. The renewed rise in oil prices has many betting on oil producers.
31 May 2022. Frankfurt (Börse Frankfurt). After the high outflows in the middle of the month, the trend is now clearly back to ETF purchases. U.S. equities are currently most sought after, followed by world equities, as Frank Mohr of Société Générale explains. "ETFs on European equities don't even account for 10 percent of sales at the moment, which is unusually low." Hubert Heuclin of BNP Paribas cannot identify any clear favorites - with overall low turnover: Global and U.S. stocks are in demand, he said, as are European stocks, though not necessarily those from the eurozone.
The approaching end of the lockdown in Shanghai is currently providing a little more confidence: The first restrictions are expected to fall as of tomorrow. The extremely high May inflation rates of 7.9 percent in Germany and 8.1 percent in the euro zone are only slightly slowing things down. The DAX stands at 14,465 points at noon on Tuesday after 14,575 yesterday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have also recovered some of their significant losses this year. "This week, however, with falling earnings forecasts and declining growth, doubts about the bear market rally could emerge," says Heuclin.
Best-seller S&P 500
"U.S. equities are clearly the driver," notes Mohr. He reports inflows into the SPDR S&P 500 ESG Leaders (IE00BH4GPZ28), Invesco MSCI USA (IE00B60SX170), and iShares Core MSCI World (IE00B4L5Y983). BNP clients' shopping lists include classic S&P 500 trackers from iShares (IE00B5BMR087) or Vanguard (IE00B3XXRP09) and also the iShares Core MSCI World.
Mohr
As far as European equities are concerned, according to Heuclin, at best the sustainability variants of the major indexes are popular, such as the iShares MSCI Europe ESG Screened (IE00BFNM3D14) and the BNP Paribas Easy MSCI Europe SRI S-Series PAB 5% Capped (LU1753045415). Classic Euro Stoxx 50 ETFs (FR0007054358), on the other hand, are flying out of portfolios. Investors apparently don't want to know much about DAX trackers either at the moment: Mohr reports sales from the iShares Core DAX (DE0005933931).
Brave buy China's shares
First easing in China and somewhat better than expected purchasing managers data let investors*innen also grab again for Chinese shares. Torben Bendt of Lang & Schwarz is registering strong interest in the iShares MSCI China (IE00BQT3WG13). It has recently recovered somewhat, but is still down 17 percent since the beginning of the year.
According to Heuclin, value stocks are also doing well - as in previous weeks - for example with the Xtrackers MSCI World Value (IE00BL25JM42). Value stocks are currently proving to be an anchor of stability in portfolios, with Xtrackers MSCI World Value up 2 percent year-to-date, while the market-wide Xtrackers MSCI World is down 7.8 percent.
"A lot of it is about oil"
As for sector ETFs, the primary sectors of interest at the moment are basic materials, healthcare and energy. "The otherwise high-turnover technology stocks are 'under the radar,'" Mohr notes. Basic materials ETFs are dominated by sales, such as in Lyxor NYSE Arca Gold BUGS (<LU0488317701>) and VanEck Gold Miners (IE00BQQP9F84), which both track gold producers. For that, investors are betting on the iShares Stoxx Europe 600 Health Care (DE000A0Q4R36) and the L&G Healthcare Breakthrough (IE00BK5BC677). Energy stocks are also clearly in demand, with the iShares S&P 500 Energy Sector (IE00B42NKQ00), for example.
Energy is also the big theme at Lang & Schwarz. "For us, quite a lot revolves around oil," Bendt describes the situation. He observes a lot of buying for the iShares Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (IE00B6R51Z18) and the iShares MSCI World Energy Sector (IE00BJ5JP105), but also for oil ETCs such as the WisdomTree WTI Crude Oil 2x Daily Leveraged (<DE000A2BDEB6>). The oil price takes again course to 120 U.S. dollars per barrel Brent, on Tuesday noon the price is only slightly below. Background are prospects of a reduced supply from Russia as a result of new EU sanctions.
Cashing in on inflation-linked bonds
There is no discernible pattern in the bond ETF business: according to Heuclin, the trend is toward government bonds, especially from the U.S. (IE00B1FZS798), but also from Germany. Mohr reports high turnover in the SPDR Bloomberg Euro Government Bond (IE00B3S5XW04) with European bonds - but in both directions. China's government bonds (IE00BYPC1H27) continue to be sold by BNP clients*.
US corporate bonds (IE0032895942) and - with the SPDR Bloomberg SASB 0-3 Year Euro Corporate ESG (IE00B6YX5H87) - short-dated eurozone corporate bonds with a sustainability focus are finding favor, according to Heuclin. Floating rate corporate bonds, on the other hand, are being dumped, Mohr notes, such as with Amundi Floating Rate Euro Corporate ESG (LU1681041114).
Meanwhile, clients of BNP Paribas are also selling inflation-linked bonds again, for example with Lyxor EUR 2-10Y Inflation Expectations (LU1390062245). This had performed extremely well until the beginning of May, but has recently weakened.
Shares | |
World | Buys |
USA | Buys |
Europe | Buys/Sales |
Industries | |
Gold producers | Sales |
Oilproducers | Buys |
Health | Buys |
Bonds | |
Inflation protected bonds | Sales |
by Anna-Maria Borse 31 May 2022, © Deutsche Börse AG
Anna-Maria Borse ist Finanz- und Wirtschaftsredakteurin mit den Schwerpunkten Finanzmarkt/Börse und volkswirtschaftliche Themen.
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